SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
41.63% ( -0.07) | 23.06% ( -0.01) | 35.31% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.76% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.07) | 36.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.08) | 58.61% ( -0.08) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( 0) | 18.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.04% ( 0) | 48.96% ( -0) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0.07) | 20.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( 0.12) | 53.72% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
