SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
82.72% ( 0.89) | 10.85% ( -0.32) | 6.43% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.8) | 23.34% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.28% ( -1.09) | 42.72% ( 1.1) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.89% ( -0.01) | 4.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.77% ( -0.05) | 17.23% ( 0.06) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.84% ( -2.22) | 43.16% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( -1.92) | 79.42% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 3-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.31)5-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)6-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)7-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.89% Total : 82.72% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.85% | 1-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 6.43% |
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