SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
45.47% ( 1.13) | 23.56% ( 0.03) | 30.96% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( -0.68) | 40.42% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( -0.7) | 62.8% ( 0.7) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( 0.19) | 18.07% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( 0.32) | 48.99% ( -0.33) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -1.03) | 25.28% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( -1.44) | 60.04% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.96% |
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