Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
1.13) 
-1.17) 
