SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SSV Ulm |
60.87% ( -0.11) | 20.88% ( 0.06) | 18.25% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( -0.21) | 40.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -0.21) | 63.37% ( 0.21) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( -0.1) | 13.02% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.44% ( -0.2) | 39.56% ( 0.2) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.08) | 36% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.22% ( -0.08) | 72.78% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
