SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Hamburger SV |
17.2% ( 0.08) | 18.96% ( 0.02) | 63.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.29% ( 0.04) | 33.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.04) | 55.53% ( -0.05) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( 0.11) | 32.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( 0.13) | 69.3% ( -0.13) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( -0.02) | 10.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.86% ( -0.03) | 33.14% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.2% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.96% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 4.39% Total : 63.84% |
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