SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.84%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 19.16% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Elversberg |
61.84% ( -3.59) | 19% ( 1.41) | 19.16% ( 2.18) |
| Both teams to score 64.48% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.63% ( -3.15) | 30.37% ( 3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.36% ( -3.87) | 51.64% ( 3.86) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( -1.66) | 9.57% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.96% ( -4.04) | 32.03% ( 4.04) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.15) | 28.69% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( 0.19) | 64.52% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.34)1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.65)3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.56)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.47)4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.34)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.45)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.37)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.28)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.94% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.59)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.24)Other @ 4.02% Total : 19.16% |
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