SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
36.1% ( -0.58) | 23.65% ( 0.17) | 40.25% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.93) | 39.27% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.98) | 61.6% ( 0.98) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( -0.71) | 21.84% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( -1.09) | 55.06% ( 1.09) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.22) | 19.83% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -0.35) | 51.91% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.25% |
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