SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
40.43% ( 0.9) | 24.79% ( -0.29) | 34.78% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 1.26) | 44.94% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 1.2) | 67.29% ( -1.19) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 1) | 22.19% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( 1.48) | 55.59% ( -1.47) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.25) | 25.17% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.34) | 59.89% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.78% |
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