Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.2) 
