Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
