SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SSV Ulm |
69.04% ( 0.11) | 17.17% ( -0.02) | 13.79% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.1) | 32.15% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.26% ( -0.12) | 53.74% ( 0.12) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.56% ( 0) | 8.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.7% | 29.31% ( 0.01) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.19) | 35.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( -0.19) | 72.69% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.04% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 13.79% |
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