SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Schalke 04 |
59.44% ( 1.25) | 20.33% ( -0.04) | 20.22% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( -1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( -1.53) | 35.28% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( -1.72) | 57.3% ( 1.73) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.14) | 11.65% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.3% ( -0.3) | 36.69% ( 0.3) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -1.98) | 30.63% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -2.4) | 66.87% ( 2.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.54)1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.76% Total : 20.22% |
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