Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
