Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Heidenheim
54.92% ( 1.43)	22.33% ( -0.12)	22.75% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.64% (

-0.89)

41.35% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

-0.91)

63.75% (

0.91)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.16)

14.98% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.56% (

0.31)

43.43% (

-0.32)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-1.6)

31.8% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

-1.88)

68.24% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 54.92%

Heidenheim 22.75%

Draw 22.32%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.92%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.75%