Hamburg were impressive in the first leg on Thursday, but the same cannot be said for Hertha, who are in bad form ahead of this match. The visitors are capable of turning the tie around, but we believe that Hamburg will again win on the night to secure a return to the Bundesliga courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
1.74) 
-0.46) 
