Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
Result | ||
Hansa Rostock | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
35.09% ( -0.1) | 24.54% ( -0.05) | 40.37% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% ( 0.23) | 43.7% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% ( 0.23) | 66.09% ( -0.23) |
Hansa Rostock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( 0.05) | 24.41% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( 0.07) | 58.83% ( -0.08) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.32% ( 0.17) | 21.68% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.18% ( 0.26) | 54.82% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Hansa Rostock | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.37% |
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