Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
56.41% ( -0.64) | 22.46% ( 0.16) | 21.13% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 55.21% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -0.12) | 43.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0.12) | 66.31% ( 0.11) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.26) | 15.38% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.47) | 44.18% ( 0.47) |
Hansa Rostock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( 0.39) | 34.74% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( 0.41) | 71.47% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.4% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.13% |
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