Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Karlsruher SC | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
41.04% ( 0) | 23.68% ( 0.31) | 35.28% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.48% ( -1.59) | 39.52% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% ( -1.67) | 61.87% ( 1.68) |
Karlsruher SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( -0.66) | 19.58% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% ( -1.09) | 51.51% ( 1.09) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.89) | 22.38% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( -1.35) | 55.88% ( 1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Karlsruher SC | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.28% |
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