Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hansa Rostock would win this match.
