SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
39.84% ( 0.19) | 23.22% ( 0.08) | 36.95% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.45% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.44) | 36.99% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.48) | 59.17% ( 0.48) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( -0.11) | 19.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( -0.17) | 50.63% ( 0.17) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.32) | 20.39% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( -0.52) | 52.81% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.95% |
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