Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.38) 
-0.01) 
