Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
