Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
39.54% ( -0.02)	25.89% ( 0)	34.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

-0.02)

49.89% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

-0.02)

71.88% (

0.02)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

-0.02)

24.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

-0.02)

59.42% (

0.03)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34%

27.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8%

63.2% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 39.54%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 34.56%

Draw 25.89%

Heidenheim	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.54%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.56%