Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
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