Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.