SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | St Pauli |
22.68% ( -0.39) | 21.39% ( -0.19) | 55.92% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( 0.44) | 37.05% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( 0.47) | 59.25% ( -0.47) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.08) | 29.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.09) | 65.48% ( 0.09) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( 0.32) | 13.22% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.03% ( 0.64) | 39.96% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 22.68% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.82% Total : 55.92% |
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