Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Magdeburg	Draw	Nuremberg
52.5% ( 0.92)	21.41% ( -0.29)	26.08% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 65.28% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53% (

0.86)

33.47% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.73% (

0.98)

55.27% (

-0.97)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.96% (

0.59)

13.04% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.39% (

1.18)

39.61% (

-1.17)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.03)

24.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.04)

59.55% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Magdeburg 52.51%

Nuremberg 26.08%

Draw 21.41%

Magdeburg	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 52.51%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.08%