SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
39.07% ( -0.17) | 24.81% ( 0.34) | 36.12% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( -1.61) | 44.85% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( -1.56) | 67.2% ( 1.56) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.79) | 22.82% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( -1.18) | 56.53% ( 1.18) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.83) | 24.38% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -1.18) | 58.78% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.12% |
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