Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.08) 
