Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
