SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Nuremberg |
39.83% ( -0.77) | 23.19% ( 0.06) | 36.98% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( -0.24) | 36.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.98% ( -0.26) | 59.02% ( 0.26) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.44) | 18.99% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.74) | 50.54% ( 0.73) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( 0.24) | 20.31% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( 0.38) | 52.69% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.5% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.98% |
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