Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-2 (4.92%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hamburger SV |
32.82% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() | 45.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.44% (![]() | 48.57% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% (![]() | 18.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% (![]() | 49.19% (![]() |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% (![]() | 13.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.38% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hamburger SV |
2-1 @ 7.02% (![]() 3-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.69% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 8.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 8.39% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.97% |
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