Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Kaiserslautern	Draw	St Pauli
28.11% ( -0.09)	22.76% ( 0.06)	49.13% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.17% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.66% (

-0.37)

38.33% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.38% (

-0.39)

60.61% (

0.39)

Kaiserslautern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0.24)

26.08% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

-0.33)

61.13% (

0.33)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0.13)

15.89% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88% (

-0.24)

45.12% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Kaiserslautern 28.11%

St Pauli 49.13%

Draw 22.75%

Kaiserslautern	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.11%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.13%