Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.07) 
