Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
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