Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.