SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kaiserslautern win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
54.85% ( 1.44) | 22.64% ( -0.22) | 22.51% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -0.37) | 43.06% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -0.37) | 65.46% ( 0.36) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.36) | 15.6% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.41% ( 0.66) | 44.59% ( -0.67) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -1.27) | 32.97% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -1.44) | 69.55% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.51% |
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