Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
2.64) 
-2.88) 
