Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Karlsruher SC in this match.