Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.