Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Magdeburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
34.66% ( 0.2) | 23.64% ( -0.03) | 41.7% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 62.41% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.52% ( 0.19) | 39.48% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% ( 0.2) | 61.82% ( -0.2) |
Magdeburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( 0.2) | 22.69% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( 0.29) | 56.34% ( -0.29) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% ( 0.01) | 19.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% ( 0.01) | 51% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Magdeburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.7% |
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