SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.99%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
59.99% ( 0.05) | 19.12% ( 0.03) | 20.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 67.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.26) | 28.27% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.92% ( -0.32) | 49.07% ( 0.31) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( -0.07) | 9.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.38% ( -0.15) | 31.61% ( 0.15) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.22) | 25.9% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( -0.29) | 60.88% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.89% |
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