Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
