Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
