Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SV Darmstadt 98 in this match.
