Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.