SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
34.45% ( 0.67) | 23.63% ( 0.14) | 41.92% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.48) | 39.48% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.18% ( -0.5) | 61.82% ( 0.5) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( 0.14) | 22.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( 0.21) | 56.52% ( -0.21) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.54) | 19.18% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( -0.9) | 50.85% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.36% Total : 41.92% |
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