SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 25.78% | 22.39% | 51.83% |
| Both teams to score 61.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% | 60.78% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% | 15.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.52% | 43.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.83% |
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