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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
HL

St Pauli
1 - 0
Hamburger SV

Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jung (35')
Leibold (90+5')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
25.78%22.39%51.83%
Both teams to score 61.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52%38.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22%60.78%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61%63.39%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 25.78%
    Hamburger SV 51.83%
    Draw 22.39%
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.48%
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 25.78%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 2.88%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 51.83%

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