SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | St Pauli |
25.49% ( -0.6) | 21.99% ( 0) | 52.52% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.59) | 36.83% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( -0.64) | 59% ( 0.63) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.75) | 27.14% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.99) | 62.53% ( 0.98) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.01) | 14.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( -0.02) | 41.92% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.49% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.52% |
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