SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | St Pauli |
45.62% ( 1.94) | 22.62% ( -0.33) | 31.76% ( -1.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.1% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( 0.97) | 35.5% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( 1.07) | 57.54% ( -1.07) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 1.13) | 16.09% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( 2.02) | 45.49% ( -2.03) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.43) | 22.41% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -0.65) | 55.93% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 31.76% |
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