Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
