SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Haka |
15.64% ( 0.03) | 19.4% ( 0.06) | 64.96% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.22) | 38.93% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.23) | 61.24% ( 0.24) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.09) | 37.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( -0.09) | 74.61% ( 0.1) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% ( -0.09) | 11.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.14% ( -0.19) | 35.86% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.64% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.4% | 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 7.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.2% Total : 64.95% |
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